krstnrdlls
0x5c90ac25d1a8f970c48e449aed57aeda8108e4f4
- Realised P&L
- $-3.98
- Volume
- $414.49
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $26.85
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.455 | $8.43 | −$1.57 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.655 | $5.37 | +$0.37 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.565 | $4.87 | −$0.13 |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.365 | $3.22 | +$0.22 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.345 | $3.14 | +$0.14 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.530 | 0.655 | $1.24 | +$0.24 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.095 | $0.59 | −$0.41 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.89at 0.213Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$3.23at 0.885Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$0.16at 0.374Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$-2.51at 0.104Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
- +$-2.89at 0.167Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 03:31 | No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3399999773 | $3.00 |
| 09-21 03:27 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 01:26 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 09:14 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.329999967 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 23:38 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.4699999796 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 23:36 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.539999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 21:17 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $28.37 |
| 09-15 16:51 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.057 | $2.85 |
| 09-15 02:06 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8799999972 | $25.00 |
| 09-15 02:05 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.12 | $2.65 |
| 09-14 05:07 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 05:06 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 22:31 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.999 | $24.01 |
| 09-12 08:21 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.412 | $2.24 |
| 09-11 03:04 | Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | SELL | 0.075 | $2.30 |