PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

krstnrdlls

0x5c90ac25d1a8f970c48e449aed57aeda8108e4f4

Realised P&L
$-3.98
Volume
$414.49
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$26.85

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration84.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5400.455$8.43$1.57
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6100.655$5.37+$0.37
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? · Yes0.5800.565$4.87$0.13
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3400.365$3.22+$0.22
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.3300.345$3.14+$0.14
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5300.655$1.24+$0.24
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · Yes0.1600.095$0.59$0.41
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds · Los Angeles Dodgers0.4700.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 03:31No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.3399999773$3.00
09-21 03:27Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?BUY0.5799999768$5.00
09-21 01:26Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.6099999756$5.00
09-18 09:14US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.329999967$3.00
09-16 23:38Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati RedsBUY0.4699999796$3.00
09-16 23:36Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.539999986$10.00
09-16 21:17Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.999$28.37
09-15 16:51Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?SELL0.057$2.85
09-15 02:06Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8799999972$25.00
09-15 02:05Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.12$2.65
09-14 05:072026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.5299998463$1.00
09-14 05:06Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.16$1.00
09-13 22:31Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.999$24.01
09-12 08:21Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.412$2.24
09-11 03:04Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open?SELL0.075$2.30