HotDogs
0x5c602835e727c15c3fbcb03039a45dcc55b767c1
- Realised P&L
- $22.0k
- Volume
- $1.14M
- Markets traded
- 685
- Open portfolio
- $64.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded685
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.903Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?
- +$589.94at 0.971Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$566.91at 0.936Human moon landing in 2026?
- +$556.36at 0.861Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?
- +$474.03at 0.881Will a Democrat win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 01:24 | Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.9912585728 | $53.48 |
| 09-07 01:14 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? | BUY | 0.9899958901 | $469.71 |
| 09-07 01:06 | Will Elise Stefanik announce a presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.884 | $6.26 |
| 08-28 19:35 | Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $960.00 |
| 08-16 19:57 | Will John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.997 | $24.35 |
| 08-12 20:04 | Will the loser of the Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary concede by August 15? | BUY | 0.92 | $128.78 |
| 08-06 01:55 | Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.988 | $0.99 |
| 06-24 20:54 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $997.00 |
| 06-24 20:18 | Human moon landing in 2026? | SELL | 0.97 | $0.35 |
| 06-19 11:24 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.994 | $1.4k |
| 06-11 10:35 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.974 | $194.80 |
| 06-10 23:41 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.991 | $991.00 |
| 06-08 12:23 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | BUY | 0.985 | $492.50 |
| 05-09 21:25 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 05-09 21:25 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.55 | $825.00 |