MillyFilly
0x5c57496c97dd151f54b2d727646aa796ced55b16
- Realised P&L
- $123.7k
- Volume
- $11.66M
- Markets traded
- 4,809
- Open portfolio
- $13.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded4,809
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration88.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.5kat 0.322Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$12.5kat 0.587Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$8.9kat 0.301Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$7.6kat 0.464Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
- +$6.0kat 0.404Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 03:39 | Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.04 | $200.00 |
| 09-17 03:38 | Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.039 | $195.00 |
| 09-17 03:36 | Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.022 | $43.85 |
| 09-17 03:36 | Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.02 | $100.20 |
| 09-17 03:36 | Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.011 | $23.38 |
| 09-17 03:36 | Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.011 | $55.11 |
| 09-17 03:36 | Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.007 | $35.00 |
| 09-17 03:35 | Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.005 | $25.00 |
| 09-17 03:35 | Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.004 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 03:34 | Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.004 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 03:34 | Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.004 | $8.00 |
| 09-17 03:34 | Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.004 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 03:34 | Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.004 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 03:34 | Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.003 | $15.00 |
| 09-17 03:34 | Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.027 | $81.00 |