segsdgsa
0x5c53cb467a9d9f4cd2a5c9b7d4ab852527d68d1b
- Realised P&L
- $-16.10
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $136.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.93at 0.500Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?
- +$6.32at 0.500Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by June 30?
- +$6.25at 0.500Will Somos Perú (SP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?
- +$6.24at 0.500Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?
- +$6.11at 0.500Another GTA VI trailer released by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-09 01:57 | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31? | SELL | 0.61 | $5.18 |
| 03-04 04:56 | Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $36.92 |
| 03-04 03:49 | Nothing Ever Happens: March | BUY | 0.4 | $21.20 |
| 03-04 03:32 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $41.50 |
| 03-03 09:05 | Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.46 |
| 03-03 09:03 | Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.945 | $5.67 |
| 03-03 08:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $7.52 |
| 03-03 06:09 | Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $7.07 |
| 03-03 06:08 | Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.955 | $5.73 |
| 03-03 06:07 | EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.926 | $5.56 |
| 03-03 06:07 | Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.16 |
| 03-03 06:06 | Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.82 |
| 03-03 06:05 | Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.16 |
| 03-03 06:04 | Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.40 |
| 03-03 06:02 | Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.52 |