0x5c470ebc22141df9e661ff906f017eeaa2cdccb4
- Realised P&L
- $-8.14
- Volume
- $41.12
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $12.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-19.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration18.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Epic Fury" this week? · No | 0.740 | 0.750 | $2.32 | +$0.03 |
| Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.685 | $2.27 | −$0.02 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.710 | $2.23 | −$0.06 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.570 | $2.10 | −$0.18 |
| Will Trump say "Through the Roof" during remarks in Las Vegas? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.585 | $2.09 | −$0.20 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.114 | $0.87 | −$1.42 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.810 | 0.275 | $0.78 | −$1.51 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · No | 0.250 | 0.002 | $0.01 | −$2.28 |
| Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.29 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:30 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? | BUY | 0.6199999621 | $2.29 |
| 08-04 08:30 | Will Trump say "Through the Roof" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.29 |
| 08-04 00:29 | Will Trump say "Epic Fury" this week? | BUY | 0.7399999741 | $2.29 |
| 08-03 16:28 | Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.6899997258 | $2.29 |
| 08-03 16:26 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999841 | $2.29 |
| 08-03 08:25 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999214 | $2.29 |
| 08-02 19:32 | Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4899999315 | $2.29 |
| 08-02 00:03 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.8099997206 | $2.29 |
| 08-01 15:57 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.29 |