PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5c470ebc22141df9e661ff906f017eeaa2cdccb4

0x5c470ebc22141df9e661ff906f017eeaa2cdccb4

Realised P&L
$-14.29
Volume
$173.43
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$2.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · No0.6000.795$1.32+$0.33
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes0.8000.590$0.74−$0.26
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8? · Yes0.7200.265$0.37−$0.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 00:04Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.8$1.00
10-03 05:05Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
10-02 14:36Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?BUY0.59999988$1.00
10-02 06:13Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
09-24 15:16Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call?BUY0.64$1.00
09-23 05:28Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026?BUY0.7480074892$2.29
09-19 05:24Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.6199999621$2.29
09-18 15:02S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?BUY0.6899999126$2.29
09-16 07:57S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16?BUY0.6299999367$2.29
09-15 23:56Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference?BUY0.4299999512$2.29
09-14 02:18Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.7399999741$2.29
09-13 18:18Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?BUY0.3399999555$2.29
09-11 15:19US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.229999994$2.29
09-11 01:52SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11?BUY0.64$2.29
09-10 05:28WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 10?BUY0.3399999555$2.29