acash.
0x5c30fe36c37c7f220a6c0e5fc95fb6ab41694acf
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $35.2k
- Markets traded
- 420
- Open portfolio
- $232.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded420
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$116.80at 0.771Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?
- +$104.91at 0.330Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 10?
- +$83.47at 0.467Spurs vs. Knicks
- +$73.29at 0.531Will MrBeast say "Subscriber" during his next YouTube video?
- +$67.20at 0.680Nuggets vs. Suns
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 03:28 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.489999998 | $81.73 |
| 08-07 03:25 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.82 | $84.24 |
| 08-07 03:14 | Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1299999195 | $1.26 |
| 08-04 23:24 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.3 | $45.00 |
| 08-04 22:50 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.7299999976 | $75.00 |
| 08-04 22:25 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 07:14 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | SELL | 0.7241374476 | $139.98 |
| 08-04 01:44 | Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.16 | $50.00 |
| 08-04 01:29 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | BUY | 0.5172977088 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 18:07 | Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $177.62 |
| 07-18 17:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BUY | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 06-24 19:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.243125 | $4.86 |
| 06-15 20:05 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2521220591 | $100.00 |
| 06-15 05:13 | Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999985 | $100.00 |
| 06-13 14:21 | Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $100.00 |