0x5c23dead9ecf271448411096f349133e0bb9c465
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $19.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.607 | 0.960 | $8.9k | +$3.3k |
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.382 | 0.930 | $7.8k | +$4.6k |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.186 | 0.880 | $1.4k | +$1.1k |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.725 | $915.77 | +$789.46 |
| Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.027 | $27.00 | −$353.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.6kat 0.819Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
- +$11.9kat 0.561Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$2.5kat 0.957Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by March 15?
- +$911.57at 0.857Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?
- +$866.28at 0.878Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 12:44 | Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? | SELL | 0.9769677154 | $427.89 |
| 05-26 07:31 | Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9656697238 | $5.5k |
| 05-26 07:30 | XMAQUINA FDV above $20M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.97 | $48.50 |
| 05-26 07:30 | XMAQUINA FDV above $10M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9930222375 | $231.31 |
| 05-26 07:28 | Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale? | BUY | 0.9966337527 | $59.6k |
| 05-26 07:28 | Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale? | BUY | 0.996657941 | $27.4k |
| 05-26 07:28 | Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale? | BUY | 0.9964393915 | $1.9k |
| 05-26 07:27 | Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale? | BUY | 0.9972990094 | $1.4k |
| 05-26 07:27 | Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale? | BUY | 0.9935888505 | $28.4k |
| 05-26 07:26 | Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale? | BUY | 0.9979837103 | $2.9k |
| 05-26 07:26 | Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.1k |
| 05-26 07:25 | Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale? | BUY | 0.9979976847 | $2.2k |
| 05-26 07:25 | Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.1k |
| 05-26 07:25 | Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.1k |
| 05-26 07:25 | Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |