onotole
0x5c1b684663197328d64ef9254840fa745bd3d915
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $144.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,020
- Open portfolio
- $214.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,020
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$270.77at 0.711Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on April 2?
- +$170.64at 0.222Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 21?
- +$159.17at 0.001Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 12?
- +$133.72at 0.001Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 8?
- +$119.71at 0.049Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C or higher on April 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 21:56 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 08-07 21:33 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 7? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 08-07 19:59 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.45 | $4.50 |
| 08-07 18:31 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.046938385 | $1.23 |
| 08-07 15:15 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.76 | $6.08 |
| 08-07 15:14 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.57 | $4.56 |
| 08-07 14:54 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 08-07 14:38 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.99 | $14.85 |
| 08-07 14:36 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 08-07 14:18 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.66 | $6.60 |
| 08-07 14:18 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.66 | $6.60 |
| 08-07 14:13 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.85 | $8.50 |
| 08-07 13:28 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 08-07 13:24 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.67 | $10.05 |
| 08-07 13:23 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.28 |