CIOH
0x5c08f27559956e9c4fa008c65f79017fe548eba9
- Realised P&L
- $11.4k
- Volume
- $332.8k
- Markets traded
- 502
- Open portfolio
- $4.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded502
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.3kat 0.522Will Trump say "Air force" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?
- +$1.5kat 0.396Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?
- +$1.2kat 0.130Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
- +$917.50at 0.760US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
- +$844.87at 0.146Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during Egypt summit?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 03:27 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1792683844 | $90.00 |
| 08-30 01:26 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2795044944 | $250.00 |
| 08-29 19:29 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6643531989 | $330.00 |
| 08-25 10:19 | Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? | BUY | 0.7841846413 | $250.00 |
| 08-24 23:06 | Will Russia capture Havrylivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9656880039 | $369.00 |
| 08-24 22:52 | Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.6164932318 | $400.00 |
| 08-09 14:25 | Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17? | BUY | 0.4047374843 | $1.2k |
| 08-08 22:51 | Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $49.00 |
| 08-08 22:48 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.616211041 | $250.00 |
| 08-07 11:42 | Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5396145602 | $140.00 |
| 08-06 08:22 | Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $28.00 |
| 08-05 19:51 | Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.6696651664 | $160.00 |
| 08-04 23:19 | Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7729483715 | $760.00 |
| 08-04 23:11 | Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31? | BUY | 0.8038080485 | $581.00 |
| 08-04 23:06 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.87 |