JasonHernandez7601
0x5be78a70576151eaf4d939c6d3667f2ca84b46ee
- Realised P&L
- $-188.57
- Volume
- $218.8k
- Markets traded
- 213
- Open portfolio
- $184.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded213
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.742 | 0.175 | $179.71 | −$580.10 |
| Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? · No | 0.420 | 0.960 | $2.88 | +$1.62 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.019 | $1.68 | −$18.96 |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.485 | $0.48 | +$0.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$674.85at 0.166Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?
- +$525.20at 0.240Will Artemis II launch by February 28?
- +$441.12at 0.520Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5
- +$430.56at 0.310Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?
- +$405.68at 0.510Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-02-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 09:46 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | SELL | 0.08 | $3.12 |
| 04-27 07:51 | Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $1.2k |
| 04-24 04:01 | Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $1.3k |
| 04-21 02:57 | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $3.02 |
| 04-13 16:33 | Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April? | SELL | 0.8605259322 | $507.71 |
| 04-13 16:06 | Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by April 30? | SELL | 0.81 | $846.45 |
| 04-13 15:50 | Will América de Cali win on 2026-02-08? | SELL | 0.609 | $32.89 |
| 04-13 11:59 | Will América de Cali win on 2026-02-08? | BUY | 0.869 | $46.93 |
| 04-13 11:50 | Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.89 | $518.87 |
| 04-13 11:34 | Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by April 30? | BUY | 0.81 | $846.45 |
| 04-13 09:33 | Will Rhoda Magbitang win Top Chef Season 23? | SELL | 0.16 | $55.68 |
| 04-13 05:39 | Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 04-13 04:22 | Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.72 | $593.28 |
| 04-13 04:20 | Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.72 | $7.20 |
| 04-13 01:27 | Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.73 | $608.82 |