PolyBot

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Traders

MarioChristian1918

0x5bcb4d1f527d4e098d15a5d92e8cf23d237ef59b

Realised P&L
$-625.87
Volume
$316.2k
Markets traded
451
Open portfolio
$319.18

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded451
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration83.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2027? · No0.7200.968$116.10+$29.70
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond? · No0.9141.000$92.00+$7.91
Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026? · No0.0900.734$68.22+$59.85
Will Deaglan McEachern win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election? · No0.7801.000$25.00+$5.50
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No0.7400.695$16.68−$1.08
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.6501.000$1.00+$0.35
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · No0.8800.180$0.18−$0.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-24 04:54Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Utah State AggiesBUY0.499$933.63
04-12 01:21Will FK Dukla Praha win on 2026-04-18?SELL0.4$51.60
04-12 01:20Will FK Dukla Praha win on 2026-04-18?SELL0.4$59.20
04-12 00:27Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?SELL0.82$173.02
04-11 17:39Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?SELL0.79$421.86
04-07 18:44Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?BUY0.78$581.10
03-30 15:49Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.84$223.44
03-30 15:40Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?SELL0.17$112.37
03-30 01:08Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.84$223.44
03-30 00:39Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?BUY0.13$85.93
03-29 23:09Will FK Dukla Praha win on 2026-04-18?BUY0.69$191.13
03-22 18:22Will "Gang" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)BUY0.65$465.40
03-22 14:12Will Trump say "Death Tax" this week? (March 29)SELL0.45$59.85
03-22 11:34Will Trump say "Death Tax" this week? (March 29)SELL0.42$207.48
03-21 18:14MARA sells any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.12$5.64