NX143
0x5b736db0d74083948a2675fcd03498ddddb84766
- Realised P&L
- $-9.1k
- Volume
- $249.0k
- Markets traded
- 176
- Open portfolio
- $395.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded176
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.535Will there be a US Government shutdown?
- +$1.7kat 0.329Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?
- +$1.4kat 0.579TikTok removed from App Store by Monday?
- +$745.51at 0.499Trump imposes 100% tariff on China before July?
- +$486.42at 0.722Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-05 15:22 | Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | BUY | 0.6120550277 | $155.83 |
| 11-05 15:21 | US recession in 2025? | SELL | 0.0418836032 | $155.83 |
| 11-05 15:19 | Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | BUY | 0.6099999804 | $29.59 |
| 10-29 01:08 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | SELL | 0.118 | $29.50 |
| 10-25 00:37 | Will the Government shutdown end by October 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $100.50 |
| 10-25 00:34 | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.1406955256 | $100.50 |
| 10-24 17:25 | US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | BUY | 0.609999979 | $11.04 |
| 10-24 17:24 | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $100.00 |
| 10-24 17:24 | US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | BUY | 0.6099999985 | $100.00 |
| 10-24 17:24 | US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30? | BUY | 0.5199999983 | $100.00 |
| 10-24 15:31 | US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30? | BUY | 0.5199999983 | $100.00 |
| 10-24 15:31 | US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31? | SELL | 0.22 | $55.00 |
| 10-18 01:35 | Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025? | BUY | 0.0566626412 | $25.00 |
| 10-18 01:34 | Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" in 2025? | BUY | 0.047577886 | $25.00 |
| 10-18 01:34 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025? | BUY | 0.0637755102 | $25.00 |