traffy.hl
0x5b348b0a9b3ab588b872ca564acb1a998c83be64
- Realised P&L
- $165.58
- Volume
- $117.9k
- Markets traded
- 175
- Open portfolio
- $5.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded175
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026? · No | 0.672 | 0.996 | $3.1k | +$994.56 |
| Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.702 | 0.775 | $799.85 | +$75.35 |
| Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? · No | 0.829 | 0.835 | $604.60 | +$4.61 |
| Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? · No | 0.784 | 0.870 | $555.09 | +$55.09 |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.875 | $257.35 | +$57.35 |
| Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? · No | 0.064 | 0.439 | $146.35 | +$124.96 |
| Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.698 | 0.805 | $115.36 | +$15.36 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes | 0.327 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$250.00 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-15? · Yes | 0.303 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$160.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$332.57at 0.532Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?
- +$305.85at 0.806Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
- +$264.12at 0.788Will Pacifica launch a token by June 30 2026?
- +$212.86at 0.855Nothing Ever Happens: December
- +$212.16at 0.189Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 18:39 | Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $15.36 |
| 09-07 09:48 | Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? | SELL | 0.221 | $26.69 |
| 09-01 14:44 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 08-28 11:52 | Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? | BUY | 0.0960512974 | $20.00 |
| 08-20 08:12 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6799999935 | $100.00 |
| 08-13 09:48 | Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6978300305 | $100.00 |
| 08-13 09:47 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6799999935 | $100.00 |
| 08-08 09:50 | Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.7836524144 | $500.00 |
| 08-08 09:43 | Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $11.00 |
| 08-08 09:41 | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.9624128256 | $748.13 |
| 07-19 13:10 | Will Dreamcash launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.965 | $219.93 |
| 07-19 13:10 | Will Rabby launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9521747138 | $110.63 |
| 07-15 20:50 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 20:41 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | SELL | 0.67 | $93.05 |
| 07-15 19:01 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3599999992 | $200.00 |