0x5b1eeed4c434cfaf4f25716e1869135860bfe046
- Realised P&L
- $-10.44
- Volume
- $206.88
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $6.53
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)9.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tabi launch a token by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.200 | 0.570 | $2.85 | +$1.85 |
| Will Ukraine win Junior Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.220 | $1.57 | +$0.57 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.195 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Efraim Filho win the Governor of Paraíba election? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.120 | $0.67 | −$0.33 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-31 House seat? · No | 0.150 | 0.070 | $0.47 | −$0.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.66at 0.150Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5
- +$4.55at 0.180Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on June 30?
- +$-0.42at 0.067Will Tunisia win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-0.69at 0.110Will England win the World Cup?
- +$-1.00at 0.180Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 1.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 15:38 | Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 06-22 03:19 | Will Tabi launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 21:18 | Will Tunisia win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.065 | $0.41 |