0x5b1e1676436bc96755bdd5615e8903814cbb8e1e
0x5b1e1676436bc96755bdd5615e8903814cbb8e1e
- Realised P&L
- $-5.10
- Volume
- $133.94
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $1.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · No | 0.620 | 0.795 | $1.28 | +$0.28 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.265 | $0.37 | −$0.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.32at 0.237Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.70at 0.270Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
- +$1.83at 0.359Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$1.48at 0.410SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 14?
- +$1.02at 0.500Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $316 Week of August 24 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 05:03 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 12:11 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 13:30 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 13:21 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 03:01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:31 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 17:00 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 08:22 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 07:19 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 22:22 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:43 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 05:29 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 21:24 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 13:20 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 05:14 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |