PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5B07C21b2D9B3E8236C4efd7c9d72Fc04ca2de95-1764188581236

0x5b07c21b2d9b3e8236c4efd7c9d72fc04ca2de95

Realised P&L
$-7.3k
Volume
$586.2k
Markets traded
230
Open portfolio
$13.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded230
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? · No0.7080.999$5.5k+$1.6k
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9100.945$2.5k+$93.23
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat? · Yes0.8300.815$2.5k−$45.78
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.9300.945$1.4k+$21.87
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6400.705$1.1k+$101.56
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat? · Yes0.8790.890$753.83+$9.46
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.4700.045$45.00−$424.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:37Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?SELL0.999$4.5k
11-01 21:36Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat?BUY0.83$2.5k
11-01 21:31Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat?BUY0.89$332.86
11-01 21:29Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat?BUY0.87$411.51
11-01 19:37Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?SELL0.999$299.70
11-01 19:37Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?SELL0.999$3.0k
10-25 21:40Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.9199999978$82.00
10-25 21:31Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.516822542$79.74
10-19 21:22Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.512$79.00
10-17 11:45Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.91$2.4k
10-14 08:27Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?BUY0.85$395.48
10-14 08:23Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?SELL0.9950968026$2.8k
10-06 20:04Will Russia target Kyiv on October 7, 2026?BUY0.989$79.12
10-06 20:04Will Russia target Kyiv on October 7, 2026?BUY0.9882954876$135.79
10-06 19:44Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?BUY0.53$19.08