0x5B0614869Ed9bc318e005173BA2b95DA8Bed9076-1761069093084
0x5b0614869ed9bc318e005173ba2b95da8bed9076
- Realised P&L
- $-958.73
- Volume
- $66.0k
- Markets traded
- 810
- Open portfolio
- $385.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded810
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.40at 0.310Solana Up or Down on October 23?
- +$33.20at 0.170Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
- +$31.20at 0.220Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?
- +$26.12at 0.357Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?
- +$25.59at 0.250TikTok sale announced by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-04 21:07 | Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.988 | $19.75 |
| 03-04 20:59 | US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | BUY | 0.53 | $106.00 |
| 03-04 20:59 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.31 | $62.00 |
| 03-04 18:29 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.5299999977 | $54.00 |
| 03-04 18:29 | US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | BUY | 0.3699999964 | $38.00 |
| 03-04 18:12 | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15? | BUY | 0.3394331579 | $64.49 |
| 03-04 18:10 | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15? | BUY | 0.33 | $21.78 |
| 03-04 18:10 | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7? | BUY | 0.39 | $99.84 |
| 12-24 19:19 | Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025? | BUY | 0.669 | $6.69 |
| 12-24 16:04 | Will Tom Hanks be named in newly released Epstein files? | BUY | 0.81 | $8.10 |
| 12-24 16:04 | Will Tom Hanks be named in newly released Epstein files? | BUY | 0.810689 | $8.11 |
| 12-24 15:45 | Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 12-24 15:30 | Epstein client list released in 2025? | BUY | 0.82 | $8.20 |
| 12-24 15:30 | Epstein client list released in 2025? | BUY | 0.82 | $8.20 |
| 12-24 15:30 | Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.85 | $17.00 |