PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

elcesianomejorado

0x5af297ac611b62eb23cc97f27618180601e05a5b

Realised P&L
$62.31
Volume
$36.7k
Markets traded
1,203
Open portfolio
$18.86

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,203
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? · Yes0.5180.522$3.92+$0.03
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.4000.410$3.28+$0.08
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2690.201$3.02$1.02
Who will finish higher: Albon or Jr.? · Albon0.9900.498$2.99$2.94
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? · Yes0.2400.155$1.62$0.89
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.2600.190$1.52$0.56
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.0800.045$1.13$0.87
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1200.045$0.90$1.50
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? · Yes0.1400.043$0.31$0.69
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? · Yes0.1020.018$0.18$0.83
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026? · No0.0560.000$0.00$1.01
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$1.00
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? · Yes0.0720.000$0.00$0.48
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini · Juan Manuel Cerundolo0.1000.000$0.00$1.00
Will the announcers say "Convert" during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$1.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 14:45Will Liam Lawson achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.999$5.81
09-13 14:45Will Pierre Gasly achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.999$5.99
09-13 14:44Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.01$0.24
09-13 14:42Who will finish higher: Albon or Jr.?BUY0.99$5.93
09-13 14:41Who will finish higher: Verstappen or Russell?BUY0.99$25.74
09-13 14:40Who will finish higher: Norris or Russell?BUY0.99$15.84
09-13 14:39Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Russell?BUY0.98$15.68
09-13 14:39Who will finish higher: Lindblad or Lawson?BUY0.99$15.84
09-13 13:16Who will finish higher: Hamilton or Russell?BUY0.99$49.50
09-12 15:11Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Hamilton?BUY0.7$1.00
09-12 15:07Who will finish higher: Norris or Hamilton?BUY0.75$1.00
09-12 15:07Who will finish higher: Norris or Hamilton?BUY0.75$2.00
09-12 15:06Who will finish higher: Norris or Hamilton?BUY0.75$2.00
09-12 15:05Who will finish higher: Leclerc or Norris?BUY0.8$2.00
09-12 15:01Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.999$10.00