iuygfyu
0x5af0e17feb35ba93fc8394521f32247529f6a793
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $35.7k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · No | 0.860 | 0.983 | $393.00 | +$49.00 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.592 | 0.517 | $248.15 | −$36.00 |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? · No | 0.780 | 0.770 | $246.40 | −$3.20 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.793 | 0.705 | $218.39 | −$27.43 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.961 | $211.31 | +$6.71 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$801.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 36°F or higher on January 23? · No | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$210.00at 0.500Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$108.48at 0.661Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$36.00at 0.630Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
- +$27.90at 0.499Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
- +$24.90at 0.917Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-26 09:18 | US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | SELL | 0.22 | $583.01 |
| 05-26 09:18 | US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | SELL | 0.23 | $23.00 |
| 05-22 01:46 | US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | BUY | 0.43 | $485.04 |
| 05-22 01:44 | US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | BUY | 0.42 | $9.26 |
| 05-16 02:40 | Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY | 0.499 | $4.99 |
| 04-27 12:39 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.821 | $985.20 |
| 04-25 01:53 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.41 | $1.2k |
| 04-22 08:16 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.57 | $93.23 |
| 04-16 09:18 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $801.00 |
| 03-13 02:22 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.63 | $323.56 |
| 03-06 06:09 | US forces enter Iran by March 14? | SELL | 0.19 | $809.07 |
| 01-22 08:20 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 36°F or higher on January 23? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.4k |