PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

iuygfyu

0x5af0e17feb35ba93fc8394521f32247529f6a793

Realised P&L
$-2.6k
Volume
$35.7k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration50.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · No0.8600.983$393.00+$49.00
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.5920.517$248.15−$36.00
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? · No0.7800.770$246.40−$3.20
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.7930.705$218.39−$27.43
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.9300.961$211.31+$6.71
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.8900.000$0.00−$801.00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 36°F or higher on January 23? · No0.5500.000$0.00−$1.4k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-26 09:18US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?SELL0.22$583.01
05-26 09:18US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?SELL0.23$23.00
05-22 01:46US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?BUY0.43$485.04
05-22 01:44US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?BUY0.42$9.26
05-16 02:40Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?BUY0.499$4.99
04-27 12:39Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.821$985.20
04-25 01:53Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.41$1.2k
04-22 08:16Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.57$93.23
04-16 09:18US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?BUY0.89$801.00
03-13 02:22Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY0.63$323.56
03-06 06:09US forces enter Iran by March 14?SELL0.19$809.07
01-22 08:20Will the highest temperature in New York City be 36°F or higher on January 23?BUY0.55$1.4k