bo8743977
0x5ae0d910253c30d3e2d7de0eae071bed3e62a0f8
- Realised P&L
- $-251.24
- Volume
- $7.6k
- Markets traded
- 954
- Open portfolio
- $2.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded954
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.65at 0.664Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
- +$13.93at 0.412Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
- +$13.88at 0.414Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
- +$12.58at 0.239Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 12?
- +$12.20at 0.263Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 12:36 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.38 | $1.14 |
| 10-14 12:34 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.36 | $1.44 |
| 10-14 12:30 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.50 |
| 10-14 12:30 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2799999691 | $1.45 |
| 10-04 16:33 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $0.90 |
| 10-02 01:38 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1799999811 | $1.14 |
| 09-25 19:30 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 02:34 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.10 |
| 09-22 15:54 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.6499999515 | $3.35 |
| 09-20 18:24 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | BUY | 0.0699999987 | $1.10 |
| 09-20 14:24 | AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.6199999587 | $3.30 |
| 09-20 14:24 | AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.2399999726 | $1.40 |
| 09-20 01:24 | Nashville SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: Nashville SC O/U 5.5 Corners | BUY | 0.5399999151 | $2.80 |
| 09-20 01:24 | Nashville SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: Chicago Fire FC O/U 3.5 Corners | BUY | 0.5 | $2.60 |
| 09-19 08:25 | Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.4299999293 | $2.25 |