PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

defidegen42069

0x5ad807b14c8277f00d526cafe1d13cc28d4393b6

Realised P&L
$-18.5k
Volume
$344.3k
Markets traded
329
Open portfolio
$3.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded329
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.8650.864$691.20$0.80
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.6300.675$630.79+$42.05
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · Yes0.3960.275$475.75$208.55
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.8000.621$248.20$71.80
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5680.460$195.30$45.94
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? · Yes0.6580.380$194.36$142.30
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.6700.865$173.00+$39.00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6800.855$171.00+$35.00
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.4200.254$152.10$99.90
Trump out as President before GTA VI? · No0.7100.500$150.00$63.00
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.9310.723$72.25$20.85
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.2800.055$27.50$112.50
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.2000.125$25.00$15.00
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0620.018$7.00$17.80
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? · Yes0.6370.005$1.50$189.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-13 05:55Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.6925$138.50
06-26 06:55Will Bill Cosby be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?SELL0.9965501761$22.64
06-26 06:55Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?SELL0.9967285714$348.85
06-26 06:55Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?SELL0.998$399.20
06-26 06:54Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?SELL0.999$149.85
06-26 06:54Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?SELL0.999$149.85
06-26 06:54Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?SELL0.998$798.39
06-26 06:54Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?SELL0.999$549.45
06-26 06:54Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?SELL0.999$549.45
05-24 22:12Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.42$126.00
05-24 22:12Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.42$126.00
02-27 16:39US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?BUY0.949$298.94
02-26 05:49Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?BUY0.81$766.26
02-19 08:49Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.71$1.4k
02-19 08:49Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.7$7.78