defidegen42069
0x5ad807b14c8277f00d526cafe1d13cc28d4393b6
- Realised P&L
- $-18.5k
- Volume
- $344.3k
- Markets traded
- 329
- Open portfolio
- $3.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded329
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.470Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- +$1.5kat 0.649Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?
- +$1.5kat 0.693Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?
- +$1.4kat 0.790Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.836US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 05:55 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.6925 | $138.50 |
| 06-26 06:55 | Will Bill Cosby be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | SELL | 0.9965501761 | $22.64 |
| 06-26 06:55 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | SELL | 0.9967285714 | $348.85 |
| 06-26 06:55 | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SELL | 0.998 | $399.20 |
| 06-26 06:54 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June? | SELL | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 06-26 06:54 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? | SELL | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 06-26 06:54 | Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | SELL | 0.998 | $798.39 |
| 06-26 06:54 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June? | SELL | 0.999 | $549.45 |
| 06-26 06:54 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June? | SELL | 0.999 | $549.45 |
| 05-24 22:12 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.42 | $126.00 |
| 05-24 22:12 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.42 | $126.00 |
| 02-27 16:39 | US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.949 | $298.94 |
| 02-26 05:49 | Will Meteora be accused of insider trading? | BUY | 0.81 | $766.26 |
| 02-19 08:49 | Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $1.4k |
| 02-19 08:49 | Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $7.78 |