PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

shirleyr

0x5aca56e5f991c9f44b8438e907631b3fcae0cad6

Realised P&L
$-2.8k
Volume
$297.9k
Markets traded
436
Open portfolio
$850.80

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded436
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration80.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · Anthropic0.6300.978$489.00+$174.00
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more? · Yes0.9200.996$199.20+$15.20
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.9201.000$90.00+$7.20
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? · No0.9301.000$55.00+$3.85
Will Deaglan McEachern win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election? · No0.7791.000$10.00+$2.21
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · No0.7301.000$4.00+$1.08
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.3200.050$2.35−$12.69
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes0.3400.029$0.91−$9.63
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.1750.084$0.34−$0.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 14:05Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more?BUY0.92$184.00
10-31 09:46Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?BUY0.92$82.80
06-15 14:54Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?SELL0.961$497.80
04-23 14:05Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?BUY0.84$435.12
04-23 12:23Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?BUY0.16$135.04
03-24 06:21Remote IPO before 2027?SELL0.36$102.60
03-24 06:19Remote IPO before 2027?SELL0.36$7.20
03-24 06:18Remote IPO before 2027?SELL0.36$168.12
03-22 16:24Remote IPO before 2027?BUY0.4$308.80
03-19 02:55Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?SELL0.78$655.98
03-16 13:59Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?BUY0.81$681.21
03-16 00:06Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?SELL0.89$692.42
03-15 12:21Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?BUY0.89$692.42
03-10 15:27MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?SELL0.14$72.80
03-10 12:45Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be less than 3m?SELL0.08$19.36