trumppink
0x5a9a81290fda83212d02813e3318c1b78cebcd1c
- Realised P&L
- $257.72
- Volume
- $44.7k
- Markets traded
- 207
- Open portfolio
- $874.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded207
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? · No | 0.943 | 0.995 | $327.19 | +$16.79 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.964 | 0.972 | $194.30 | +$1.50 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? · No | 0.969 | 0.978 | $97.75 | +$0.85 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October? · No | 0.994 | 0.999 | $73.89 | +$0.33 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.640 | $64.00 | −$22.00 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.983 | 0.988 | $49.38 | +$0.23 |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.345 | $40.71 | −$13.57 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.900 | 0.915 | $27.45 | +$0.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$82.90at 0.557Trump cryptocurrency executive order on Day 1?
- +$58.95at 0.459Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?
- +$47.65at 0.930Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
- +$7.95at 0.694Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?
- +$7.20at 0.640Rangers vs. Hurricanes
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 02:35 | Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October? | BUY | 0.994 | $73.56 |
| 10-08 02:34 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.969 | $96.90 |
| 10-08 02:33 | Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $85.50 |
| 10-08 02:29 | Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | BUY | 0.941 | $224.90 |
| 09-28 03:00 | Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $143.71 |
| 09-28 02:59 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.964 | $192.80 |
| 09-28 02:39 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.983 | $49.15 |
| 09-28 02:34 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 09-21 09:28 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.989 | $49.45 |
| 09-20 04:53 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $474.52 |
| 09-20 04:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-19 12:15 | Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.907 | $6.35 |
| 09-19 03:29 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.994 | $99.40 |
| 09-09 12:40 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.988 | $49.40 |
| 09-09 12:39 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | BUY | 0.8 | $24.00 |