PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

trumppink

0x5a9a81290fda83212d02813e3318c1b78cebcd1c

Realised P&L
$257.72
Volume
$44.7k
Markets traded
207
Open portfolio
$874.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded207
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? · No0.9430.995$327.19+$16.79
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9640.972$194.30+$1.50
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? · No0.9690.978$97.75+$0.85
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October? · No0.9940.999$73.89+$0.33
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.8600.640$64.00−$22.00
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9830.988$49.38+$0.23
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.4600.345$40.71−$13.57
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.915$27.45+$0.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 02:35Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?BUY0.994$73.56
10-08 02:34Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?BUY0.969$96.90
10-08 02:33Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?BUY0.95$85.50
10-08 02:29Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?BUY0.941$224.90
09-28 03:00Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?BUY0.998$143.71
09-28 02:59Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.964$192.80
09-28 02:39Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.983$49.15
09-28 02:34Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?BUY0.998$99.80
09-21 09:28Iran leadership change by September 30?BUY0.989$49.45
09-20 04:53Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on September 20?BUY0.999$474.52
09-20 04:51Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on September 20?BUY0.99$9.90
09-19 12:15Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.907$6.35
09-19 03:29Trump out as President by September 30?BUY0.994$99.40
09-09 12:40Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?BUY0.988$49.40
09-09 12:39Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?BUY0.8$24.00