paghool
0x5a60bb0b393f8497faf6f07142e11877e8cd2a67
- Realised P&L
- $7.0k
- Volume
- $185.4k
- Markets traded
- 179
- Open portfolio
- $7.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded179
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.7kat 0.291Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
- +$1.0kat 0.574MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
- +$723.17at 0.633Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
- +$425.66at 0.247Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?
- +$404.88at 0.496Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 00:12 | Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $72.03 |
| 09-18 00:11 | Will Symbiotic launch a token by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.7405178804 | $73.93 |
| 09-16 20:10 | Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2891310303 | $94.99 |
| 09-16 20:09 | Will Saturn launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.827695962 | $87.12 |
| 09-16 20:09 | Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.52 | $14.81 |
| 09-16 05:33 | Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.03 |
| 09-16 05:33 | Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 14:10 | Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 | BUY | 0.7699999966 | $42.62 |
| 09-11 14:07 | Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.1450963333 | $45.86 |
| 09-11 13:22 | Saturn FDV above $50M one day after launch | BUY | 0.2999999973 | $21.82 |
| 09-11 13:17 | Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.1453418618 | $23.40 |
| 09-07 00:20 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1399999984 | $68.05 |
| 09-07 00:19 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.139 | $16.14 |
| 09-07 00:19 | Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $91.33 |
| 09-06 15:08 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1389999743 | $4.01 |