kzygc
0x5a5557b335b704a1c9999a71a242fd8479c3be08
- Realised P&L
- $-12.12
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $51.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will XRP reach $1.60 in September? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.225 | $20.25 | −$8.55 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.080 | $16.77 | −$23.32 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.022 | $12.22 | −$3.12 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.021 | $2.15 | −$3.15 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.60 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.50 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.54 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$100.29at 0.410Will Solana reach $110 in September?
- +$37.00at 0.630Will XRP reach $1.40 in September?
- +$14.52at 0.460Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 11?
- +$10.00at 0.400Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 11?
- +$-17.50at 0.120Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 08:53 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.009 | $35.10 |