PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

SerializedZebra

0x5a38f410efe9916e930185c15edaab1d95f92d59

Realised P&L
$-632.00
Volume
$206.7k
Markets traded
1,489
Open portfolio
$20.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,489
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · No0.6340.875$8.35+$2.30
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0390.018$2.37$2.63
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3400.165$1.65$1.75
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.1720.065$1.58$2.62
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? · No0.6300.285$1.43$1.73
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? · Yes0.1830.070$1.16$1.84
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3500.085$0.85$2.65
Iran Nuke before 2027? · Yes0.1200.048$0.79$1.21
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.025$0.73$1.97
Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026? · Yes0.6200.185$0.60$1.40
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.1070.017$0.34$1.80
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.3300.015$0.14$2.86
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.0510.001$0.02$1.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-11 13:57Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceBUY0.2524999396$3.00
07-11 13:57Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.1624999587$3.00
07-11 13:35Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?BUY0.619999969$2.00
07-11 13:31Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.089999919$1.00
06-02 18:10MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.008$16.00
05-23 11:37Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?BUY0.007$1.05
05-01 08:12Chirayu Rana divorced?BUY0.23$2.30
05-01 08:08Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?BUY0.63$3.15
05-01 08:03Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?BUY0.107$2.14
05-01 07:58 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?BUY0.61$3.05
05-01 07:56 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?BUY0.76$3.80
05-01 07:55Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.53$5.30
05-01 07:55Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.34$3.40
05-01 07:51Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY0.15$4.50
05-01 07:45Chirayu Rana fired?BUY0.58$5.80