SerializedZebra
0x5a38f410efe9916e930185c15edaab1d95f92d59
- Realised P&L
- $-632.00
- Volume
- $206.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,489
- Open portfolio
- $20.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,489
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$242.26at 0.528Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
- +$205.99at 0.503Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
- +$181.03at 0.530Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
- +$124.16at 0.662Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
- +$73.79at 0.322Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 13:57 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2524999396 | $3.00 |
| 07-11 13:57 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.1624999587 | $3.00 |
| 07-11 13:35 | Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026? | BUY | 0.619999969 | $2.00 |
| 07-11 13:31 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 06-02 18:10 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $16.00 |
| 05-23 11:37 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.05 |
| 05-01 08:12 | Chirayu Rana divorced? | BUY | 0.23 | $2.30 |
| 05-01 08:08 | Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 05-01 08:03 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.107 | $2.14 |
| 05-01 07:58 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 05-01 07:56 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 05-01 07:55 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 05-01 07:55 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.34 | $3.40 |
| 05-01 07:51 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.15 | $4.50 |
| 05-01 07:45 | Chirayu Rana fired? | BUY | 0.58 | $5.80 |