penetratorgoogla
0x5a2256d2882b197db0d96ac951f19785cfa835ae
- Realised P&L
- $-382.05
- Volume
- $12.6k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $193.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? · Yes | 0.966 | 0.975 | $57.78 | +$0.53 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.969 | 0.972 | $57.71 | +$0.15 |
| Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat? · Yes | 0.959 | 0.975 | $57.51 | +$0.91 |
| Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.971 | 0.943 | $20.75 | −$0.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$850.00at 0.500Reds vs. Pirates
- +$580.08at 0.468Panthers vs. Maple Leafs
- +$423.00at 0.530Brewers vs. Braves
- +$396.00at 0.640Fever vs Mercury
- +$7.53at 0.930Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-01 06:53 | Will Freecs win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | SELL | 0.986 | $5.95 |
| 04-30 12:01 | Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 08-06 10:26 | Yankees vs. Rangers | BUY | 0.45 | $179.00 |
| 08-05 08:43 | Royals vs. Red Sox | BUY | 0.32 | $736.00 |
| 07-31 11:34 | Rays vs. Yankees | BUY | 0.49 | $490.00 |
| 07-30 11:10 | Diamondbacks vs. Tigers | BUY | 0.44 | $440.00 |
| 05-05 13:42 | Panthers vs. Maple Leafs | BUY | 0.4683457584 | $511.00 |