Tayla
0x59fa4b299a695b59114f9900ba05afe4e1198599
- Realised P&L
- $10.28
- Volume
- $7.0k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $331.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.555 | $199.80 | +$1.80 |
| Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.088 | $55.44 | +$5.04 |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.276 | $44.16 | −$0.64 |
| Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.085 | $22.42 | −$25.14 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.592 | 1.000 | $10.00 | +$4.08 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.50at 0.226EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?
- +$-0.18at 0.104Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 17:26 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.592 | $5.92 |
| 07-14 07:34 | Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.24 |
| 04-12 19:13 | Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.98 |
| 03-31 13:57 | EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.4108333333 | $147.90 |
| 03-28 13:33 | EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.16 | $30.40 |
| 03-23 11:57 | Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.1038187576 | $68.52 |
| 03-18 16:02 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $10.00 |