PhileasFogg
0x59efcf246070fcde80ade3d5bb18fd14b4da3210
- Realised P&L
- $19.43
- Volume
- $603.42
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $46.97
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.64at 0.581Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$14.94at 0.870Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?
- +$11.05at 0.288Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?
- +$2.54at 0.704Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
- +$1.96at 0.704Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 12:54 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.75 | $5.00 |
| 08-31 13:11 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.849999983 | $5.00 |
| 08-31 13:01 | Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.0936254703 | $3.00 |
| 08-31 12:59 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.86 | $5.31 |
| 08-29 22:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | SELL | 0.78 | $5.34 |
| 08-29 22:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7299999679 | $5.00 |
| 08-27 15:31 | Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 15:27 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3339999752 | $5.00 |
| 08-27 15:24 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 08-27 15:21 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.8099999741 | $5.00 |
| 08-23 17:24 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999814 | $2.00 |
| 08-11 21:45 | Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999679 | $5.00 |
| 08-11 21:42 | Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0234676108 | $1.00 |
| 08-11 21:39 | Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999827 | $8.00 |
| 08-11 21:36 | French election called by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999992 | $11.00 |