bvrthgfd
0x599dfeb7ce9ec912b682134cfe11f5873a352cea
- Realised P&L
- $95.70
- Volume
- $20.8k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $124.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.969 | 0.983 | $39.30 | +$0.54 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.967 | 0.977 | $35.34 | +$0.34 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.969 | 0.974 | $29.22 | +$0.15 |
| Will Vest launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.870 | 0.905 | $20.80 | +$0.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$124.44at 0.360Panthers vs. Canadiens
- +$93.00at 0.380Clippers vs. Raptors
- +$78.93at 0.580Grizzlies vs. Kings
- +$69.05at 0.420Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?
- +$66.89at 0.380Nuggets vs. Warriors
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 08:40 | Will Vest launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999791 | $20.00 |
| 07-12 08:37 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9669999907 | $35.00 |
| 04-02 08:36 | Will Phantom launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9599999812 | $20.44 |
| 04-02 08:36 | Will Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9468375292 | $20.00 |
| 04-02 08:30 | Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30? | BUY | 0.9659999992 | $40.00 |
| 04-02 08:28 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9699999942 | $50.00 |
| 03-03 12:47 | Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.99 | $40.44 |
| 03-03 12:46 | Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9819999851 | $43.00 |
| 03-03 12:44 | Will Phantom launch a token by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9899999699 | $25.00 |
| 03-03 12:42 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9732700467 | $20.00 |
| 02-09 19:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February? | BUY | 0.9859999999 | $34.61 |
| 02-09 19:04 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February? | BUY | 0.9779999993 | $20.00 |
| 02-09 19:04 | Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February? | BUY | 0.9856714423 | $30.00 |
| 02-08 16:32 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.991 | $29.43 |
| 02-06 13:24 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.994 | $127.79 |