PolyBot

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Traders

0x598Ee83578910E92c7976747F27cf18E15ED9D4f-1768664369098

0x598ee83578910e92c7976747f27cf18e15ed9d4f

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$88.1k
Markets traded
115
Open portfolio
$4.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded115
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8500.825$970.72−$29.28
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.7860.839$746.76+$46.76
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.6430.865$672.10+$172.10
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · Yes0.7800.850$544.87+$44.87
No one announced as next James Bond? · No0.7540.858$455.23+$55.23
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.8600.850$345.93−$4.07
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · Yes0.6200.345$333.87−$266.13
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3200.295$276.56−$23.44
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.5940.490$123.67−$26.33
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? · No0.6300.115$54.76−$245.24
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1900.032$49.74−$250.26
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes0.6810.055$24.23−$275.77
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · No0.7960.000$0.00−$400.00
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.7880.000$0.00−$300.00
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$300.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 16:02Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?SELL0.93$408.79
10-27 15:22Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?SELL0.8738611379$299.36
10-27 15:22Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.93$336.14
10-27 14:47Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.94$376.00
10-22 12:42Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?SELL0.9092955276$311.07
10-22 12:412026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseSELL0.92$522.73
10-16 16:13US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?SELL0.95$519.53
10-08 08:06Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?SELL0.91$166.46
10-08 08:06Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.92$418.18
10-06 08:36Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?SELL0.977$499.60
10-06 08:35Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.8375443845$713.67
09-19 07:39US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?BUY0.7599999992$200.00
09-15 18:57Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.94$1.1k
09-13 05:41Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?SELL0.992$525.17
09-12 06:48Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.932$531.35