0x598Ee83578910E92c7976747F27cf18E15ED9D4f-1768664369098
0x598ee83578910e92c7976747f27cf18e15ed9d4f
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $88.1k
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $4.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$558.01at 0.454Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$455.21at 0.573Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
- +$427.08at 0.439Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
- +$401.26at 0.361Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$335.66at 0.747Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 16:02 | Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $408.79 |
| 10-27 15:22 | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | SELL | 0.8738611379 | $299.36 |
| 10-27 15:22 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $336.14 |
| 10-27 14:47 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.94 | $376.00 |
| 10-22 12:42 | Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.9092955276 | $311.07 |
| 10-22 12:41 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | SELL | 0.92 | $522.73 |
| 10-16 16:13 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $519.53 |
| 10-08 08:06 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.91 | $166.46 |
| 10-08 08:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $418.18 |
| 10-06 08:36 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | SELL | 0.977 | $499.60 |
| 10-06 08:35 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.8375443845 | $713.67 |
| 09-19 07:39 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999992 | $200.00 |
| 09-15 18:57 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.1k |
| 09-13 05:41 | Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.992 | $525.17 |
| 09-12 06:48 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.932 | $531.35 |