SRG888
0x594c318ef682da69e66c01a13b58cfc4b1c4750f
- Realised P&L
- $-40.60
- Volume
- $22.8k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $78.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.80at 0.330Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?
- +$16.76at 0.355Will Trump say "Ukraine" or "Ukrainian" 10+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?
- +$7.43at 0.800Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
- +$6.19at 0.779Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?
- +$5.50at 0.82076ers vs. Thunder
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 20:21 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 76-78%? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 01-07 15:02 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.886 | $24.58 |
| 12-02 21:32 | Thunder vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.83 | $6.64 |
| 11-17 19:37 | Kings vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.89 | $7.12 |
| 11-12 11:22 | Lakers vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.71 | $5.68 |
| 11-10 20:09 | Cavaliers vs. Heat | BUY | 0.73 | $8.76 |
| 11-10 20:07 | Lakers vs. Hornets | BUY | 0.76 | $9.12 |
| 10-26 10:29 | Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $6.00 |
| 10-15 06:19 | Will Trump say "Ukraine" or "Ukrainian" 10+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 10-11 15:35 | Will Trump say "Peace" or "Shalom" 5+ times during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13? | BUY | 0.91 | $3.55 |
| 10-11 15:33 | Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during speech on October 14? | BUY | 0.77 | $9.24 |
| 10-09 19:16 | Will Trump say "NATO" during events with President of Finland on Oct 9? | BUY | 0.25 | $7.00 |
| 10-09 07:01 | Will Trump say "Jared" or "Kushner" during events with President of Finland on Oct 9? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 10-05 17:10 | Will Taylor Swift say "Pregnant" during Tonight Show on October 6? | BUY | 0.83 | $9.96 |
| 09-30 07:48 | Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-04? | BUY | 0.67 | $5.36 |