fidgett
0x5948ad711627ed9b6a1a11b2704e5517c3c338bf
- Realised P&L
- $46.26
- Volume
- $750.18
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $119.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.969 | 0.972 | $40.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No | 0.970 | 0.970 | $39.98 | −$0.02 |
| Putin visits US by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.920 | 0.910 | $39.57 | −$0.43 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.69at 0.658NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
- +$4.57at 0.873NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 14:11 | Putin visits US by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $40.00 |
| 10-06 14:09 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9689999999 | $40.00 |
| 10-06 14:06 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.9699999859 | $40.00 |
| 10-06 13:50 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9008663902 | $145.57 |
| 08-21 09:29 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8725738394 | $141.00 |
| 08-21 09:27 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.934787309 | $140.69 |
| 08-20 20:37 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6577908793 | $99.00 |