PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Kfjdbebjdjdvwnksjfvebks

0x594387b958da4f38fc9e1d21b2832796b76c0d97

Realised P&L
$-206.06
Volume
$14.5k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$647.76

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration87.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? · No0.6950.989$426.75+$126.75
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · No0.1140.160$140.92+$40.92
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? · Yes0.1900.195$29.25+$0.75
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · No0.4000.435$21.75+$1.75
Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026? · No0.4700.205$20.50−$26.50
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0010.004$3.50+$2.50
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? · Yes0.0200.024$3.09+$0.46
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0010.001$1.00+$0.01
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50−$0.50
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50−$0.50
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$12.20
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$15.00
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-24 19:20Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?BUY0.47$47.00
10-24 19:15Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?BUY0.19$28.50
10-05 20:13Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.001$1.00
10-05 20:12Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.001$1.00
10-05 20:12Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.001$1.00
10-05 20:12Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.001$0.16
09-22 13:53Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 24, 2026?BUY0.068$2.09
09-22 07:17Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 24, 2026?BUY0.09$3.57
09-22 07:16Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?SELL0.26$27.30
09-21 05:57Israel military action against Lebanon on September 18?BUY0.26$39.78
09-21 05:57Israel military action against Lebanon on September 18?BUY0.25$2.50
09-21 05:57Israel military action against Lebanon on September 18?BUY0.24$2.40
09-21 05:55Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.75$45.00
09-21 04:32Israel military action against Lebanon on September 18?BUY0.2599999998$232.00
09-21 04:30Israel military action against Lebanon on September 18?BUY0.2495986622$74.63