Bjart
0x594387b958da4f38fc9e1d21b2832796b76c0d97
- Realised P&L
- $219.40
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $919.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.341 | 0.440 | $386.70 | +$86.70 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · No | 0.114 | 0.255 | $224.59 | +$124.59 |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 16? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.940 | $150.61 | +$9.61 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? · No | 0.165 | 0.165 | $99.00 | +$0.10 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.855 | $51.30 | +$2.10 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.021 | $5.12 | −$7.08 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.005 | $1.24 | +$0.24 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.63at 0.860Israel military action against Lebanon on September 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 21:24 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.026 | $1.46 |
| 09-14 20:35 | Israel military action against Lebanon on September 16? | BUY | 0.8799999995 | $141.00 |
| 09-13 13:21 | Israel military action against Lebanon on September 14? | BUY | 0.8599999983 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 09:58 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $49.30 |
| 09-13 05:33 | Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0040291509 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 05:20 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 05:20 | Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 11:05 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $15.00 |
| 09-12 10:58 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1135426711 | $100.00 |
| 09-12 10:58 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3413458585 | $300.00 |