PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

amazingfrog

0x5927944b074429a49d0d75c79101d8330942672b

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$58.0k
Markets traded
458
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded458
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-20 09:20Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.66$7.26
01-20 09:20Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?BUY0.65$5.20
01-20 09:19Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.66$10.56
01-20 09:14Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?SELL0.92$4.60
01-20 09:14Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the Eastern Conference?SELL0.986$26.62
01-20 04:19Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?SELL0.09$0.81
01-20 04:03Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?BUY0.2$2.20
01-20 04:03Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?SELL0.36$2.16
01-20 02:35Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.2409998963$1.69
01-20 02:13Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?SELL0.085$0.68
01-20 02:13Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?SELL0.085$0.60
01-20 02:01Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.65$5.20
01-20 01:49Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?BUY0.17$5.27
01-20 01:35Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL0.52$10.92
01-20 00:18Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?BUY0.899$17.97