0x59157dd6b72b7a9b75D01855146B0228ee48fE51-1778266035738
0x59157dd6b72b7a9b75d01855146b0228ee48fe51
- Realised P&L
- $-4.4k
- Volume
- $66.5k
- Markets traded
- 4,018
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,018
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$194.60at 0.013Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
- +$13.20at 0.890Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$2.66at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
- +$2.66at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
- +$2.66at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 09:48 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.707 | $7.07 |
| 09-21 09:17 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.776 | $7.76 |
| 09-21 08:17 | Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.015448164 | $32.10 |
| 09-21 07:37 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.6810465329 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 07:37 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.3850956989 | $101.08 |
| 09-20 21:08 | Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.385 | $453.60 |
| 09-20 20:38 | Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.2222222222 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 20:22 | Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3485551722 | $50.00 |
| 09-20 19:52 | Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.345094147 | $90.00 |
| 09-20 15:29 | Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.679 | $82.62 |
| 09-19 13:37 | Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow? | BUY | 0.7477567298 | $100.00 |
| 09-19 07:09 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.23 | $2.30 |
| 09-19 07:06 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.23 | $59.49 |
| 06-01 15:22 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.538 | $70.06 |
| 06-01 15:20 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.545 | $108.62 |