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Traders

0x59157dd6b72b7a9b75D01855146B0228ee48fE51-1778266035738

0x59157dd6b72b7a9b75d01855146b0228ee48fe51

Realised P&L
$-4.4k
Volume
$66.5k
Markets traded
4,018
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,018
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration74.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.8400.835$334.00$2.00
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · No0.8870.993$248.10+$26.34
Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.9290.977$195.40+$9.50
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7100.715$143.00+$1.00
Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow? · Yes0.7480.990$132.40+$32.40
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · No0.3050.048$92.88$504.30
Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold? · Yes0.9200.962$86.58+$3.78
Will United Russia (ER) win 60% or more of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election? · No0.8200.997$39.86+$7.06
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.5800.046$36.21$415.64
Will United Russia (ER) win 50-55% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election? · No0.5500.995$19.90+$8.90
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · No0.3280.011$2.04$58.81
Will United Russia (ER) win 55-60% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election? · No0.5500.021$0.41$10.59
Will United Russia (ER) win 40-45% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.0010.001$0.12$0.12
Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0070.001$0.05$0.59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET · Down0.4800.000$0.00$2.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 09:48Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.707$7.07
09-21 09:17Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.776$7.76
09-21 08:17Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.015448164$32.10
09-21 07:37Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.6810465329$100.00
09-21 07:37Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?SELL0.3850956989$101.08
09-20 21:08Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.385$453.60
09-20 20:38Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.2222222222$20.00
09-20 20:22Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.3485551722$50.00
09-20 19:52Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.345094147$90.00
09-20 15:29Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.679$82.62
09-19 13:37Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow?BUY0.7477567298$100.00
09-19 07:09Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.23$2.30
09-19 07:06Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.23$59.49
06-01 15:22MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.538$70.06
06-01 15:20MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.545$108.62
Trader 0x59157dd6b72b7a9b75D01855146B0228ee48fE51-1778266035738 · PolyBot Pro