PolyBot

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Traders

0x59107f4ecaa181788a33ad9aae7aa6b75e928d5c

0x59107f4ecaa181788a33ad9aae7aa6b75e928d5c

Realised P&L
$-311.39
Volume
$41.4k
Markets traded
96
Open portfolio
$1.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded96
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · Yes0.2600.255$0.98−$0.02
Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6? · Yes0.4900.270$0.55−$0.45
Kings vs. Spurs · Kings0.0040.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 World Series MVP? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9PM ET · Down0.0840.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 17:56Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 6?BUY0.4899998383$1.00
11-01 17:56Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?SELL0.11$1.16
10-28 01:50Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.0949999981$1.00
10-28 01:49Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.0419999997$1.00
10-28 01:49Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 World Series MVP?BUY0.05$1.00
10-28 01:48US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
10-28 01:47Kings vs. SpursBUY0.004$1.00
10-28 01:45Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.001$1.00
10-28 01:43Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9PM ETBUY0.0839999993$1.00
10-09 17:25Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETBUY0.5$1.00
10-09 12:22Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETBUY0.5099998215$1.00
10-09 12:16Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETBUY0.219999978$1.00
10-08 23:52Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETBUY0.1199999976$2.00
10-08 23:42Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.024$1.60
10-08 23:23Will Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.017$0.09