yangguang0511
0x58fd45d701b93e76d6c04a0983ee5b3cc29d43a6
- Realised P&L
- $7.6k
- Volume
- $58.57M
- Markets traded
- 7,699
- Open portfolio
- $34.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,699
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$248.20at 0.171Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 9?
- +$129.17at 0.021Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
- +$125.50at 0.130Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
- +$118.72at 0.226Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 11?
- +$106.59at 0.762Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 05:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 17? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-16 13:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 16? | SELL | 0.001 | $9.05 |
| 09-16 11:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 16? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.40 |
| 09-15 20:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 16? | SELL | 0.001 | $3.85 |
| 09-14 13:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 14? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.53 |
| 09-13 08:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 13? | SELL | 0.001 | $7.87 |
| 09-12 19:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 13? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.86 |
| 09-12 07:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 12? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.72 |
| 09-12 00:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 12? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.22 |
| 09-10 11:20 | Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $11.32 |
| 09-10 11:18 | Will James Parkin win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.26 |
| 09-10 11:17 | Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.36 |
| 09-10 11:17 | Will Edna DeVries win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 09-10 11:17 | Will Adam Crum win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.14 |
| 09-10 03:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 10? | SELL | 0.001 | $16.70 |