PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Zwicky

0x58bb0c844ce822974a6dfb5dbb08ad690f751bd7

Realised P&L
$389.52
Volume
$62.6k
Markets traded
540
Open portfolio
$25.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded540
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.3190.375$14.75+$2.21
ELH: Třinec vs. Vítkovice · Třinec0.6251.000$9.99+$3.75
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? · Yes0.1900.021$0.61−$5.08
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? · No0.0770.189$0.44+$0.26
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? · Yes0.1520.004$0.04−$1.63
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? · Yes0.0120.002$0.04−$0.24
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3520.000$0.00−$5.29
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$3.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 8AM ET · Down0.0020.000$0.00−$0.05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 13? · No0.0790.000$0.00−$1.58
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$0.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET · Down0.0300.000$0.00−$0.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 13:59ELH: Třinec vs. VítkoviceBUY0.69$3.45
09-21 16:15ELH: HC Kladno vs. Sparta PragueSELL0.001$0.01
09-18 17:43ELH: HC Kladno vs. Sparta PragueBUY0.6$3.00
09-16 14:52ELH: Vítkovice vs. HC KladnoBUY0.47$2.35
09-15 09:11Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?SELL0.1$0.76
09-09 08:33Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?SELL0.091$1.22
08-26 13:20Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?SELL0.067$1.34
08-17 13:09Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?BUY0.06$1.20
08-11 18:41Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 13?BUY0.16$1.60
08-11 14:56Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 11?SELL0.84$4.20
08-11 13:36Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 11?BUY0.38$3.80
08-10 16:55Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 11?BUY0.041$1.23
08-10 16:52Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 11?BUY0.54$2.70
08-09 11:47Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 9?BUY0.002$1.00
08-09 06:30Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.3$3.00