PolyBot

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Traders

thene0

0x58aef1780c1d8fa93910920568d244de59f99b9d

Realised P&L
$-37.77
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$1.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0030.002$1.32$1.72
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.3870.000$0.00$3.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4180.000$0.00$50.00
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$2.00
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance · Mexico0.4700.000$0.00$5.00
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$1.00
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1140.000$0.00$1.00
Paraguay vs. France: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$1.00
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$1.00
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance · Portugal0.3400.000$0.00$3.67
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance · Norway0.3320.000$0.00$1.50
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$1.00
Will Claude go down 8-10 times in August? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$2.00
Will FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 19:45Will FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?BUY0.1199999976$2.00
09-09 20:36Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-09?SELL0.82$3.35
09-09 20:06Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-09?BUY0.4899999584$2.00
08-22 22:37Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?BUY0.3299997822$1.00
08-22 21:17Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?BUY0.2599998648$1.00
08-12 09:10Will Claude go down 8-10 times in August?BUY0.2199999164$2.00
07-31 16:47Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.0029999985$2.05
07-29 20:36Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?SELL0.45$4.58
07-27 14:41Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?BUY0.2184175175$3.75
07-18 11:18Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?SELL0.748$4.88
07-17 13:58Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?BUY0.0729999331$1.00
07-17 13:55Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?BUY0.368999921$2.41
07-17 13:55Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?SELL0.54$4.29
07-16 10:55Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4179999982$50.00
07-16 10:42Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?SELL0.54$2.01