thene0
0x58aef1780c1d8fa93910920568d244de59f99b9d
- Realised P&L
- $-37.77
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $1.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.03at 0.337Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
- +$2.81at 0.270Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?
- +$2.37at 0.378Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?
- +$2.27at 0.467England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$2.18at 0.237Will Claude go down 3-5 times in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 19:45 | Will FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1199999976 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 20:36 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-09? | SELL | 0.82 | $3.35 |
| 09-09 20:06 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.4899999584 | $2.00 |
| 08-22 22:37 | Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 08-22 21:17 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 08-12 09:10 | Will Claude go down 8-10 times in August? | BUY | 0.2199999164 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 16:47 | Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.0029999985 | $2.05 |
| 07-29 20:36 | Will Claude go down 12+ times in July? | SELL | 0.45 | $4.58 |
| 07-27 14:41 | Will Claude go down 12+ times in July? | BUY | 0.2184175175 | $3.75 |
| 07-18 11:18 | Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July? | SELL | 0.748 | $4.88 |
| 07-17 13:58 | Will Claude go down 12+ times in July? | BUY | 0.0729999331 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 13:55 | Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July? | BUY | 0.368999921 | $2.41 |
| 07-17 13:55 | Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July? | SELL | 0.54 | $4.29 |
| 07-16 10:55 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4179999982 | $50.00 |
| 07-16 10:42 | Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July? | SELL | 0.54 | $2.01 |