PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

hammerstak

0x58734d549e1e4bc3b6f5197e9ed58321a583db3f

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$26.7k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$1.07

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration62.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)13.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers? · Yes0.4040.004$1.07$122.67
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$8.82
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$10.00
Will a hurricane form by May 31? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00$20.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00$40.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-26 02:25Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?SELL0.001$0.22
05-10 18:44Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?BUY0.1$8.82
04-29 19:30Crude Oil all time high by April 30?SELL0.0021416263$9.60
04-11 23:19Crude Oil all time high by April 30?BUY0.087808316$393.70
04-11 23:18Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?BUY0.08$20.00
04-11 23:16Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?BUY0.0349999983$20.00
04-11 23:15Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?BUY0.0151104127$10.00
04-11 23:13Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.16$443.70
04-02 03:01Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.16$71.02
04-01 05:26US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL0.003$3.22
04-01 05:25Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?SELL0.6295747052$67.80
03-28 16:12US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.08$80.73
03-27 23:44Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?SELL0.2493718186$80.74
03-24 04:46Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.1593736164$371.22
03-23 15:36Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?BUY0.1297253933$200.00