jian.ha
0x585818268cf679dc36812feed197ed465f56f151
- Realised P&L
- $1.38
- Volume
- $204.30
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $46.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BNB dip to $200 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.976 | 0.969 | $11.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.920 | 0.968 | $5.26 | +$0.26 |
| Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? · No | 0.970 | 0.990 | $5.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.975 | 0.987 | $5.06 | +$0.06 |
| Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? · No | 0.986 | 0.989 | $5.01 | +$0.01 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? · No | 0.890 | 0.925 | $2.08 | +$0.08 |
| Is Earth flat? · No | 0.982 | 0.996 | $2.03 | +$0.03 |
| Trump out as President by September 30? · No | 0.994 | 1.000 | $2.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October? · No | 0.996 | 0.998 | $2.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No | 0.995 | 0.995 | $2.00 | −$0.00 |
| Trump goes to space in 2026? · No | 0.985 | 0.980 | $1.99 | −$0.01 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.981 | 0.962 | $1.96 | −$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.13at 0.941US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?
- +$0.12at 0.976Will Trump end NASA in 2025?
- +$0.11at 0.978Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
- +$0.11at 0.979Interstellar object confirmed aliens?
- +$0.11at 0.950US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 05:54 | Will BNB dip to $200 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9759999987 | $12.00 |
| 10-01 05:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October? | BUY | 0.9960139442 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 04:06 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899996084 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 04:06 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.995 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 05:00 | Will BNB dip to $300 in September? | BUY | 0.997 | $12.00 |
| 09-16 04:58 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.9409999769 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 04:58 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9809999922 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 04:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? | BUY | 0.9889998492 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 04:56 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.9939997207 | $2.00 |
| 08-17 07:19 | Will BNB dip to $300 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.89 |
| 08-17 07:18 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $2.00 |
| 08-17 07:18 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.9969995269 | $2.00 |
| 08-17 07:17 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $2.00 |
| 08-17 07:17 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 08-17 07:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9949996244 | $2.00 |