vyemfql
0x584827e878edf2d0940278516565abcd25e5b529
- Realised P&L
- $7.0k
- Volume
- $130.5k
- Markets traded
- 208
- Open portfolio
- $9.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded208
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.817Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$1.4kat 0.816Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$989.68at 0.526Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?
- +$919.70at 0.658Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
- +$531.52at 0.664Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 18:26 | Spain snap election called by November 30? | SELL | 0.4 | $16.00 |
| 10-02 18:26 | Spain snap election called by October 31? | BUY | 0.35 | $70.00 |
| 10-02 18:25 | Spain snap election called in 2026? | SELL | 0.51 | $56.61 |
| 10-02 18:25 | Spain snap election called in 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $57.72 |
| 10-02 18:25 | Spain snap election called in 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $46.64 |
| 10-02 18:25 | Spain snap election called by October 31? | BUY | 0.35 | $70.00 |
| 10-02 18:24 | Spain snap election called by November 30? | BUY | 0.4 | $80.00 |
| 10-02 18:23 | Spain snap election called in 2026? | SELL | 0.54 | $71.32 |
| 10-02 18:23 | Spain snap election called by October 31? | BUY | 0.34 | $13.60 |
| 10-02 13:41 | Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.775 | $77.50 |
| 10-02 13:40 | Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.788 | $76.37 |
| 10-02 13:40 | Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.787 | $76.28 |
| 10-02 13:21 | Spain snap election called in 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $79.36 |
| 10-02 13:20 | Spain snap election called in 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $32.00 |
| 10-02 13:19 | Spain snap election called in 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $448.00 |