PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Cheburashka7

0x5839be4b6f5c9ef30ce341e5fa9d7230356378f9

Realised P&L
$-274.92
Volume
$31.5k
Markets traded
414
Open portfolio
$215.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded414
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.894$89.45+$39.45
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024? · Yes0.8980.977$69.50+$5.57
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? · No0.8350.974$20.64+$2.94
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No0.5100.445$17.43$2.55
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.105$10.55$39.45
Will Donald Trump visit Wyoming in 2026? · No0.8100.600$3.00$1.05
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · Yes0.5000.135$2.70$7.30
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4000.090$1.80$6.20
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? · Yes0.3900.002$0.03$7.77
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$2.30
FK ML Viciebsk vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: Team to Advance · FK ML Viciebsk0.2700.000$0.00$5.00
Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-13? · Yes0.7100.000$0.00$5.00
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-13? · Yes0.8400.000$0.00$5.00
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09? · Yes0.2820.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-29 10:25Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?BUY0.39$1.99
08-13 16:57Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-08-13?BUY0.75$5.00
08-13 16:57Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-13?BUY0.7099999702$5.00
08-13 16:56Will FC Drita win on 2026-08-13?BUY0.8799999859$5.00
08-13 16:55Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-13?BUY0.84$5.00
08-13 16:48FK ML Viciebsk vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: Team to AdvanceBUY0.2699999681$5.00
07-30 13:38FC Rottach-Egern vs. Bayern Munich: O/U 5.5BUY0.92$5.00
07-30 13:37Spread: Bayern Munich (-2.5)BUY0.9530132911$20.00
07-19 19:26Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.394$9.85
07-11 22:47Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.5$7.50
07-11 22:46Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.5$2.50
07-10 11:23Will the announcers say "USA" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?BUY0.55$8.24
07-09 20:25Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.188$4.70
07-09 13:35UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.66$3.30
07-09 13:19Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.03$1.00