Cheburashka7
0x5839be4b6f5c9ef30ce341e5fa9d7230356378f9
- Realised P&L
- $-279.72
- Volume
- $31.3k
- Markets traded
- 423
- Open portfolio
- $234.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded423
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$118.95at 0.012Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$44.74at 0.402Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
- +$27.92at 0.789Will PVV win 33 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
- +$27.00at 0.400Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 22 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
- +$23.47at 0.228Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 17-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:32 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 15:30 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2599999964 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 19:15 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7889999976 | $20.00 |
| 09-29 15:35 | Russia vs. Namibia: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-29 15:29 | Russia vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-20 16:51 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 08:08 | Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 09-20 08:06 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $14.20 |
| 09-20 08:05 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.48 | $10.00 |
| 08-29 10:25 | Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.99 |
| 08-13 16:57 | Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-08-13? | BUY | 0.75 | $5.00 |
| 08-13 16:57 | Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-13? | BUY | 0.7099999702 | $5.00 |
| 08-13 16:56 | Will FC Drita win on 2026-08-13? | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 08-13 16:55 | Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-13? | BUY | 0.84 | $5.00 |
| 08-13 16:48 | FK ML Viciebsk vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |