Cheburashka7
0x5839be4b6f5c9ef30ce341e5fa9d7230356378f9
- Realised P&L
- $-274.92
- Volume
- $31.5k
- Markets traded
- 414
- Open portfolio
- $215.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded414
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.74at 0.402Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
- +$27.92at 0.789Will PVV win 33 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
- +$27.00at 0.400Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 22 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
- +$23.47at 0.228Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 17-24?
- +$23.25at 0.336Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-29 10:25 | Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.99 |
| 08-13 16:57 | Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-08-13? | BUY | 0.75 | $5.00 |
| 08-13 16:57 | Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-13? | BUY | 0.7099999702 | $5.00 |
| 08-13 16:56 | Will FC Drita win on 2026-08-13? | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 08-13 16:55 | Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-13? | BUY | 0.84 | $5.00 |
| 08-13 16:48 | FK ML Viciebsk vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 07-30 13:38 | FC Rottach-Egern vs. Bayern Munich: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 07-30 13:37 | Spread: Bayern Munich (-2.5) | BUY | 0.9530132911 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 19:26 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.394 | $9.85 |
| 07-11 22:47 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.5 | $7.50 |
| 07-11 22:46 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 07-10 11:23 | Will the announcers say "USA" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.55 | $8.24 |
| 07-09 20:25 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.188 | $4.70 |
| 07-09 13:35 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 07-09 13:19 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.00 |