BreakEven
0x5838192d931f91d2e56893c634ad8861a49c367c
- Realised P&L
- $527.17
- Volume
- $120.3k
- Markets traded
- 788
- Open portfolio
- $928.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded788
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$189.76at 0.498Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
- +$168.34at 0.710Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$168.14at 0.170Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
- +$132.85at 0.141Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$114.60at 0.452Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 13:01 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028? | BUY | 0.66 | $13.38 |
| 09-16 12:58 | Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.08 |
| 09-16 12:53 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $11.40 |
| 09-16 12:53 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $10.17 |
| 09-03 09:32 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 08-27 05:58 | Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? | BUY | 0.075 | $5.25 |
| 08-27 05:58 | Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? | BUY | 0.072 | $10.80 |
| 08-25 17:28 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.343 | $20.58 |
| 08-16 07:02 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.131 | $33.14 |
| 08-16 07:00 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.075 | $20.25 |
| 08-16 06:59 | Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 08-11 10:28 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.151 | $6.04 |
| 08-11 10:27 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 08-09 12:41 | Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2028? | BUY | 0.47 | $9.60 |
| 08-09 12:32 | Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.965 | $24.13 |