PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

BreakEven

0x5838192d931f91d2e56893c634ad8861a49c367c

Realised P&L
$442.13
Volume
$126.5k
Markets traded
797
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded797
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration30.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 13:29Will James Talarico be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?BUY0.046$4.60
10-26 13:29Will James Talarico be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?BUY0.045$0.71
10-26 13:28Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.74$37.00
10-26 13:28Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?BUY0.45$18.00
10-25 12:40Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.2$10.85
10-22 17:28Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?BUY0.3599999971$10.00
10-22 17:25Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?BUY0.3499999948$20.00
10-20 03:12Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.005$34.21
10-15 16:55Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.91$100.00
10-04 12:41Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.25$20.62
10-04 12:23Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.621$18.92
10-04 12:20Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?BUY0.221$13.68
10-02 13:04Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.29$34.80
09-16 13:01Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?BUY0.66$13.38
09-16 12:58Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.2$2.08