0x57fc0c4c221e770441996deac095acd59fdb6bc8
0x57fc0c4c221e770441996deac095acd59fdb6bc8
- Realised P&L
- $0.76
- Volume
- $446.21
- Markets traded
- 123
- Open portfolio
- $1.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded123
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.280 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 92% to 93.5%? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.160 | $0.53 | −$0.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.60at 0.310Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
- +$4.45at 0.310US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$4.38at 0.321Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in August?
- +$4.18at 0.331Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
- +$3.21at 0.389SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 22:19 | CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 92% to 93.5%? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 22:00 | Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 02:35 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.2429999609 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 15:52 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.7109998791 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 18:27 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 21:37 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 11:55 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 03:53 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 18:27 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 22:27 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 14:18 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 15:06 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 06:25 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 18:00 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 02:23 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |