PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Farrusco

0x57ea9bf84f894d94ec575734dd39031cdbbdcc99

Realised P&L
$-304.77
Volume
$10.8k
Markets traded
208
Open portfolio
$5.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded208
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.2940.032$4.18−$34.82
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0510.041$0.79−$0.21
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0120.005$0.46−$0.54
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? · Yes0.1400.037$0.26−$0.74
Will the Republican Party win the VA-08 House seat? · Yes0.1000.011$0.10−$0.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET · Up0.3440.000$0.00−$1.00
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 · Over0.4800.000$0.00−$1.50
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) · Portugal0.3700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$0.36
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$1.00
England vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 0.5 · Over0.4500.000$0.00−$1.00
Sporting CP vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5700.000$0.00−$2.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET · Up0.2620.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$2.50
Will André Ventura win the second round? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 21:15Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?SELL0.999$4.16
10-06 19:50Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.3599999712$1.50
10-06 19:31Croatia vs. Spain: Croatia O/U 0.5SELL0.999$1.75
10-06 19:20Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.0119999999$1.00
10-06 19:15Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06?SELL0.25$2.00
10-06 17:46England vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 0.5BUY0.4499998425$1.00
10-06 17:43Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.08$1.00
10-06 17:42Croatia vs. Spain: Croatia O/U 0.5BUY0.5699999886$1.00
10-03 20:46Greece vs. Germany: Greece O/U 1.5BUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-03 20:43Spread: Portugal (-1.5)BUY0.3699999593$1.00
10-03 20:16Spain vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 0.5SELL0.999$2.38
10-03 20:16Spain vs. Czechia: Both Teams to ScoreSELL0.999$2.50
10-03 17:11Spain vs. Czechia: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.4$1.00
10-03 17:11Spain vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 0.5BUY0.4199998908$1.00
10-02 21:07Spread: Belgium (-1.5)SELL0.999$2.63