PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

chenfatd

0x57b10a4d282280ecdbb901ee600ae51a5f6091f1

Realised P&L
$-68.19
Volume
$2.4k
Markets traded
60
Open portfolio
$12.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded60
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1400.175$6.25+$1.25
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2601.000$3.85+$2.85
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? · Yes0.1500.033$1.08−$3.92
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.2000.055$0.82−$2.17
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1100.024$0.43−$1.57
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$5.25
Will France win on 2026-06-30? · No0.2300.000$0.00−$2.00
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$1.00
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? · No0.8200.000$0.00−$4.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-06 04:53Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3499998775$1.00
07-06 04:52Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.239999856$1.00
07-06 04:51Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.3899998479$1.00
07-06 04:50Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
07-06 04:49Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.2699999163$2.00
07-06 04:45United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4799998272$1.00
07-06 04:45Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.3599998704$1.00
07-06 04:43Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.1$1.00
07-06 04:41Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.1$1.00
07-01 14:31Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.089999919$1.00
07-01 14:30Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
07-01 14:30Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.239999856$1.00
07-01 14:30Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.05$1.00
07-01 14:30Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
07-01 14:30Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.1199998992$1.00