PolyBot

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Traders

0x57afe856badc59aeccad83ed00a9c23d95b36f3e

Realised P&L
$-1.52
Volume
$95.42
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$10.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · Yes0.6900.755$2.19+$0.19
Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%? · Yes0.4600.455$1.98$0.02
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.7800.915$1.85+$0.27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · No0.8000.710$1.77$0.23
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $135 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.2800.160$1.14$0.86
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · No0.5600.275$0.98$1.02
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.7900.275$0.70$1.30
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · No0.3500.001$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 23:15Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%?BUY0.459999885$2.00
08-04 15:14US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.8$2.00
08-04 07:14Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $135 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.2799999048$2.00
08-03 11:02US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.6899997205$2.00
08-03 03:02Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.5499999725$2.00
08-02 19:01Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.5599999664$2.00
08-02 10:51Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.6699999196$2.00
08-02 00:02US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.7899999289$2.00
08-01 16:01Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.34999993$2.00
08-01 15:52Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.77$2.00
08-01 03:23Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.3899998066$1.19
07-31 19:22Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.5M and 7.6M in June?BUY0.7599998024$2.00
07-31 11:20WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on July 31?BUY0.6599998949$2.01
07-30 04:29Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-28 23:41Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.5499999298$1.96