0x579D61d54611c9aEe4CeAc110101c7c0b65f247C-1768398059449
0x579d61d54611c9aee4ceac110101c7c0b65f247c
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $241.1k
- Markets traded
- 809
- Open portfolio
- $917.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded809
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 3? · No | 0.997 | 0.996 | $445.98 | −$0.47 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on October 3? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $414.87 | +$0.62 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 3? · No | 0.870 | 0.920 | $39.55 | +$2.15 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 3? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.029 | $13.44 | +$8.23 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.029 | $3.83 | −$11.77 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 7? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.37 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$214.76at 0.484Will London have less than 5mm of precipitation in May?
- +$187.40at 0.060Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 23?
- +$134.84at 0.152Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 14?
- +$131.18at 0.069Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 13?
- +$124.72at 0.974Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 06:30 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.997 | $346.96 |
| 10-03 06:30 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.0150345916 | $2.19 |
| 10-03 06:29 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.0097580801 | $3.03 |
| 10-03 06:28 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.87 | $37.40 |
| 10-03 06:28 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.998 | $414.25 |
| 10-02 14:50 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.996 | $27.97 |
| 10-02 11:35 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.9637060985 | $65.58 |
| 10-02 11:34 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.9767155123 | $68.25 |
| 10-02 11:34 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.975 | $29.25 |
| 09-30 23:05 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.993 | $39.77 |
| 09-30 23:04 | Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $327.88 |
| 09-29 06:22 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.9755556091 | $20.26 |
| 09-29 06:22 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $259.84 |
| 09-29 06:21 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.99 | $83.16 |
| 09-27 04:25 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.9979905494 | $175.30 |